Election forecaster: Spanberger "as certain as the sun" to win Va. Gov. race

Election forecaster Chaz Nuttycombe, executive director of State Navigate, told The Final 5 that his projections suggest Democrat Abigail Spanberger is a near lock to win Virginia’s governor’s race, with a 98% chance of victory, while Ghazala Hashmi is heavily favored for lieutenant governor and the attorney general race remains tight between Jay Jones and Jason Miyares. Nuttycombe projects Democrats will expand their slim House of Delegates majority by several seats and expects early voting to make up more than 40% of the total electorate. Known for his precise state-level forecasts, Nuttycombe says his live election-night model, NavCast, will give Virginians real-time insight into where the votes are coming from as results roll in.

Dems fight to hold slim majorities in Virginia House, Senate

With control of the Virginia legislature hanging by a slim margin, Democratic Delegate Dan Helmer told Jim Lokay on "The Final 5" that his party is running candidates in all 100 House districts for the first time in recent memory. Helmer said Democrats are energized by national issues like abortion rights, marriage equality, and rising living costs, framing the election as a response to GOP “extremism” in Washington and Richmond.

Virginia takes center stage as Election Day looms

Across the U.S., redistricting efforts have surged — with states like Texas, Maryland and Indiana racing to redraw maps ahead of upcoming elections. In Virginia, the spotlight is also on the governor’s race, where Democrat Abigail Spanberger maintains a sizable lead in most polls over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears. Jim Lokay discusses the race with NOTUS contributing editor Dave Levinthal, who also discusses his reporting that uncovered lengthy gaps in Earle-Sears' official schedule as lieutenant governor.

When does early voting end in Virginia?

Voters in several East Coast states are heading into the final days of early voting ahead of the November 4 election. Here’s how long residents in Virginia have left to cast ballots before Election Day.

Pete Snyder on the race for Virginia

Virginia's statewide elections are getting national attention, not just for the historical precedent that often favors the party opposite the White House in the race for governor, but also for the text message scandal that engulfed Democratic attorney general nominee Jay Jones. Jim talks about the state of the races with former GOP candidate for governor and CEO of Disruptor Capital Pete Snyder on "The Final 5."